It’s that wonderful time of the year again – the NHL playoffs. And the playoffs wouldn’t be the playoffs without an attempt to predict what’s about to take place in the first round. I know I’m a little late posting this, I haven’t had time to think about a hockey blog with all the end-of year school work that’s hit, but the picks were made before last night, I promise. So without further ado…
Eastern Conference
Washington (1) vs. New York Rangers (8)
It’s been an up and down year for the Capitals. Along with their number one seed, they had a 10 game losing streak played out over an HBO special, and have learned how to deal with decreased production from their big three of Ovechkin, Backstrom, and Semin. The Rangers have again somewhat coasted in the post-season. Starting with King Henrik in net, they have a pretty young team, especially on defence. When Marian Gaborik has been on, he’s been very good, and when he’s been off, he’s been pretty bad. Vinny Prospal had a great second half to the year, and they’ve also had career years from some young guns, including Derek Stepan, and Ryan Callahan.
But where the Caps have the advantage in this series is the total revamp of their system. After being a hockey team that was full of flashy offence and 5-4 wins, Bruce Boudreau has preached defence first all year, and his team has responded. Unlike last year at this time, the Caps are okay losing games 2-1 and 3-2, and they don’t panic when the puck isn’t going in. Facing one of the league’s best tenders in Lundqvist in round one will test their patience and their defence. Of course, if the two teams had each other’s goalies this one wouldn’t even be close, but a lot would have to go wrong for the Caps to have this series come down to their lack of an all star goalie.
The Pick: Capitals in 5
Philadelphia (2) vs. Buffalo (7)
This is going to be a very interesting series. The Flyers have been a top team all year, have huge depth up front, and a solid defence corps, especially when Chris Pronger is healthy, though how much he’ll play is yet to be seen. Unfortunately they’ve had a pretty rough March and April, and aren’t exactly coming into this series on a big high. On the other hand, the Sabres are coming in confident. With no Derek Roy for most of the year, the team has been in the hands of depth guys like Vanek, Pominville, and Stafford, and the contributions from Nathan Gerbe and Tyler Ennis haven’t gone unnoticed. Whether Ryan Miller is 100% healthy is unknown, and on paper, a banged-up Miller is still better than a Bobrovsky/Boucher tandem, but after Boucher helped take this team to the Finals last year, that might not necessarily be the case. It’s a series that’s impossible to predict, and the Flyers should win this, but if there’s going to be an Eastern upset, this one has lots of potential.
The Pick: Sabres in 7
Boston (3) vs. Montreal (6)
This is the instant rivalry that everyone was hoping for. The past aside, these two teams have played some high scoring, rock ‘em sock ‘em type games full of intensity this year, and that was even before last month’s Max Pacioretty/Zdeno Chara incident. Of the six games against each other over the year, Montreal was able to win four of them. Carey Price has silenced some critics with his goaltending, and isn’t getting booed at home any more. Oft-injured all star Andrei Markov couldn’t stay healthy again this year, which stretched the Habs’ blue line pretty thin, and was a blow that the ever exciting P.K. Subban was able to help soften. Up front, they’re full of every team’s favourite – depth guys. Mathieu Darche, David Desharnais, have put in a solid year for the red and blue, and rookie Lars Eller has also impressed, especially with the lack of output from Scott Gomez. But the big, bad Bruins are exactly that, skilled and tough. They’ve stepped up their game in the second half and can compete with the Habs’ skill. And with a Vezina winner between the pipes, they shouldn’t be beaten there.
The Pick: Bruins in 6
Pittsburgh (4) vs. Tampa Bay (5)
This series matches the Buffalo/Philly matchup in toughness to predict. As everyone knows, Malkin is out for the season and Crosby is still MIA after a January concussion, but the Penguins have surprised everyone with their ability to put together a good enough record sans superstars to finish in fourth. They’ve had core guys like Chris Kunitz step up, and recently acquired James Neal should make an impact in the playoffs as well. The Lightning have aligned themselves behind playoff veteran Dwayne Roloson, and even though Steven Stamkos couldn’t keep up with the pace he set at the beginning of the year, they still have weapons in St. Louis, a rejuvenated Lecavalier, and young guys like Nate Thompson and Teddy Purcell. This series is going to come down to the defence, which side can shut down the opposition snipers, and which goalie can stand on their head. Pittsburgh has been an annual contender for about the last five, and they have the edge in big-game experience.
The Pick: Penguins in 6
Western Conference
Vancouver (1) vs. Chicago (8)
Just like the Boston/Montreal series, this one is another big rivalry. The Hawks, who squeaked into the playoffs on the last day of the regular season, lost a lot of their depth in the off-season, and though they aren’t the same team that won the cup last year, they have many similar parts, including their big three of Toews, Kane, and Sharp. The Canucks are going into the playoffs as good as they’ve ever been, with the Sedin twins leading the charge. Aside from their struggles on the blue line, the Canucks boast one of the deepest teams in the league right now. Though Chicago has names like Keith and Seabrook on defence, the full corps haven’t played well enough. The last two years these teams have played, Vancouver has won the first game and then gone on to lose the series. Even though Chicago struggled this year and wound up in eighth, they’re hoping that they can psych out the Canucks enough to steal a huge series.
The Pick: Canucks in 5
San Jose (2) vs. Los Angeles (7)
This series is going to be a battle of two inconsistent teams looking to string together some big wins. The Sharks, who have a potential Calder trophy candidate in Logan Couture, quietly soared into the second spot in the west. While they’ve often had no trouble getting into a good spot, playoff inexperience has plagued this franchise for years, and a first round upset would be a disaster. For the Kings, they’ve been hot and cold, and will start the playoffs without their two top scorers in Anze Kopitar and Justin Williams. An advantage the Kings have is in net, where Quick and Bernier can, for the most part, be counted on when the other falters. Another X factor is top prospect Brayden Schenn, whose junior team, the Saskatoon Blades, were eliminated from the WHL playoffs But for the Kings to upset in this series, they’ll need catch this Sharks team by surprise, and ride some hot goaltending into the semis.
The Pick: Sharks in 6
Detroit (3) vs. Phoenix (6)
While this hasn’t really achieved rivalry status, these two teams always seem to cross paths in the playoffs. This year, Detroit is coming in as their usual annual favourited self’s. Though Henrik Zetterberg will miss chunks of this series with injury, they’ve got the blue line anchored by Lidstrom, veterans like Datsyuk, Franzen, and Holmstrom up front, and a goalie who’s been here before in Jimmy Howard. Like the Penguins, this team’s experience in long playoff runs is key, as is coach Mike Babcock, who knows how to get the best out of his team. For the Coyotes, it’s merely a shame they got the Wings in the first round. Amid relocation rumours all season, they’ve put together a good run, with vets Shane Doan and Ray Whitney leading a group of young forwards, and Keith Yandle anchoring the blue line as one of the best offensive defenceman in the game. And in net, Ilya Bryzgalov has also quietly put together a consistent year. Though the Wings team they’re facing may not be as good as some of the past ones, it’s pretty close. To win this one, Phoenix would need get timely scoring, convert on close to all their chances, and absolutely snuff out the Wings’ snipers, something they’ve never been able to accomplish.
The Pick: Red Wings in 6
Anaheim (4) vs. Nashville (5)
Talk about two teams who finished well above where experts had projected them to. The Anaheim Ducks weren’t even thinking playoffs when they got off to a bad start back in October. But after good goaltending from Hiller, inspired play from vets like Koivu and Selanne, and an MVP- caliber season from Corey Perry, the Ducks roared back to snag the fourth place spot. Down in Nashville, the franchise’s first and only head coach Barry Trotz has a team that believes. Though they don’t blow you away on paper, Pekka Rinne getting hot at the right time might be a Jaroslav Halak repeat in this year’s playoffs. Shea Weber and Ryan Suter anchor an underrated defence corps that has shut out many teams all season. And players like Sergei Kostitsyn, Martin Erat, and Patric Hornqvist have all stepped up their games to huge levels. While many people tend to count out the Predators because they’re the Predators, time will tell if their defence can do enough to stop the Perry/Getzlaf/Ryan combination.
The Pick: Ducks in 7
Did I miss anything? Am I way off the mark? Comment at me, chirp me, let me hear from you. And come back in a couple weeks for my second round predictions.